In the China Open semifinals on Tuesday, Carlos Alcaraz faces Jannik Sinner.

Alcaraz is the favorite (-375) in this match, compared to the underdog Sinner, who is +275.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner Match Information

  • Tournament: The China Open
  • Round: Semifinals
  • Date: Tuesday, October 3
  • Venue: National Tennis Center
  • Location: Beijing, China
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner Prediction and Odds

Based on the moneyline in this match, Carlos Alcaraz has a 78.9% chance to win.

Carlos Alcaraz Jannik Sinner
-375 Odds to Win Match +275
-125 Odds to Win Tournament +600
78.9% Implied Prob. to Win Match 26.7%
55.6% Implied Prob. to Win Tournament 14.3%
57.7 Computer Predicted Prob. to Win Match 42.3

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Today's China Open Previews & Predictions

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner Trends and Insights

  • Alcaraz defeated Casper Ruud 6-4, 6-2 in the quarterfinals on Monday.
  • Sinner took home the win 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 versus Grigor Dimitrov in the quarterfinals on Monday.
  • Through 73 matches over the past year (across all court types), Alcaraz has played 24.6 games per match (22.5 in best-of-three matches) and won 58.8% of them.
  • Alcaraz has played 33 matches on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 24.0 games per match (23.0 in best-of-three matches).
  • Sinner has averaged 23.2 games per match (20.0 in best-of-three matches) in his 68 matches played in the past year across all court types, while winning 57.9% of the games.
  • Sinner has averaged 22.0 games per match (19.5 in best-of-three matches) and 9.4 games per set through 45 matches on hard courts in the past year, winning 58.0% of those games.
  • Alcaraz and Sinner have played seven times dating back to 2015, and Alcaraz has a 4-3 advantage, including a 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 win in their last meeting on March 31, 2023 at the Miami Open presented by Itau.
  • In 22 total sets against each other, Alcaraz has won 12, while Sinner has claimed 10.
  • Sinner and Alcaraz have matched up for 226 total games, and Sinner has won more often, capturing 116 of them.
  • In their seven matches against each other, Alcaraz and Sinner are averaging 32.3 games and 3.1 sets.

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